Week 3 Play and Fade
Week three is approaching fast and fantasy owners are either indifferent about their team or already have championship aspirations. Here are my Week 3 start and sits.
Quarterback Play 'Em
Dak Prescott vs. Miami - This is about as easy as a start there is besides Mahomes. Prescott has been on a tear during the first two weeks of the season and now he plays the worst team in the NFL. The Dolphins have been absolutely toasted by Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady the first two weeks and I expect Dak to throw for three touchdowns before the game gets too out of hand.
Jameis Winston vs. New York Giants- There is no other way to put it, Winston has been bad this year. He isn't making enough throws to outweigh his turnovers like he has done in the past. This is probably the last week Winston has to gain fantasy owners trust back. Good thing the Giants have allowed 31 points per game this year. If there is a time for the Bucs offense to get on track and let loose, this is the game.
Quarterback Fade 'Em
Tom Brady vs. Jets- Not that I don't think the Patriots will have trouble scoring, but I don't think Brady has a have a top 5 point total in Week 3 like owners are expecting. I think two touchdowns is the ceiling here as the Patriots roll the Jets and their abysmal offense. Don't forget, the Jets held Baker Mayfield in check until giving up the long touchdown to OBJ.
Baker Mayfield vs. Los Angeles Rams- Speaking of Mayfield, I have him outside my top 8 for the week. Owners who spent a decent draft pick on Baker have been disappointed thus far. I expect the Browns offense to continue to have trouble against a stacked Rams defense who have only given up 201 yards per game. The offensive line is the biggest concern, especially when Aaron Donald is across the line.
Running Back Play 'Em
Devonta Freeman at Indianapolis- The Falcons passing game on track in Week 2 but Freeman did not. This is a prime matchup for the former fantasy stud to get back on track. Yes, he is losing touches to Ito Smith, but he is still the clear lead back and this is a great time for Freeman to put up some points on a Colts defense that gives up two touchdowns on the ground per game.
Todd Gurley at Cleveland- It's crazy to think that you have to debate on starting Gurley or not. Well this week is as good as any week to fire him up. Cleveland just let a broken Jets offense along with Le'veon Bell to have success on the ground and the short passing game. I believe Gurley will score a couple touchdowns this game after getting tasting pay dirt last week.
Running Back Fade 'Em
James Connor at San Francisco- Connor left Week 2 with an injury and it seems like he is on track to play in Week 3. Besides the injury concern, the offense as a whole for the Steelers is going to be stagnant due to Mason Rudolph making his first NFL start. I expect the Niners to be keying in on the run game and limiting Connor's production.
Derrick Henry at Jacksonville- Thursday games have been a snooze fest this year, and I expect that to continue in Week 3. With that being said, the Jaguars still have a solid defensive line and athletic linebackers, they should be able to run down Henry and limit his production. He might get a goal line look to save his day, but I am not expecting a good fantasy day from Henry.
Wide Receiver Play 'Em
Michael Thomas at Seattle- Some are worried about Teddy Bridgewater tanking Thomas and his value. Thomas still put up a 18 point day without Drew Brees. He is still going to be the focal point of the passing offense. If we remember how Bridgewater plays, it's a lot of short efficient passing, so basically Michael Thomas's bread and butter.
Tyler Lockett vs. New Orleans- The other side of this matchup. The Saints have been torched by big plays this year. One of the premier big play threats, Lockett has a prime breakout spot after being consistent in the first two weeks. The fact he plays the slot lets him stay away from Marshon Lattimore.
Wide Receiver Sit 'Em
Sammy Watkins vs. Baltimore- Should you sit the top receiver for a Pat Mahomes led offense? Probably not, but if you have other options, I would consider it. Baltimore has one of the most talented and deepest corner group in the league. As we saw last week, Watkins was more of the check down that the big play threat. If that continues this week, we might be looking at a low scoring day for Watkins.
Stefon Diggs vs. Oakland- Not that this is a scary matchup, but its the opposite. We have seen the Vikings been a ground and pound team and Adam Thielen is the first option in the passing game. The Vikings should be up early and we might see Cousins attempt less than 18 passes. Not good for Diggs.
Tight End Play 'Em
Evan Engram at Tampa Bay- You're probably starting Engram if you have him, but I think Engram vaults into the top 3 in scoring this week. Daniel Jones is starting and who better to throw to than the biggest and most athletic receiver you have? The Bucs have also been vulnerable up the seam at times.
Darren Waller vs. Minnesota- Oakland is likely to be down early in this game. That should mean a whole lot of targets to go around. While the Vikings have a solid corner group that includes Xaiver Rhodes, the middle of the field is more open. Waller should command 8 plus targets and I am expecting him to be a top 6 tight end this week.
Tight End Sit 'Em
Austin Hooper at Indianapolis- This should be a high scoring game, and we could see Hooper get a handful of targets. I just don't think he will do anything with them. Hooper has been used as a second read near the line of scrimmage which doesn't allow significant fantasy points. Unless he gets into the end zone, you might be happy getting 8 points out of Hooper.
T.J. Hockenson at Philadelphia- The rookie has been a solid player thus far, but I would hold off on starting Hockenson in Week 3. The Eagles have no corner talent which is evident considering they've given up 350 yards in the air per game. I expect Stafford to use his passing attempts on his outside receivers which means not as much volume for the talented rookie.