Week 3 : FanDuel and DraftKings Main Slate Locks of the Week
For those unfamiliar with the term “cash game”, it refers to the head to head or 50/50 contest type. The best strategy for cash games is to target safe players, and avoid guys who can bust. You only need to beat 50% of the competition in order to win money, so players with a low floor and high ceiling such as D Jax, Winston, and Drake are the archetype you must avoid. For cash games, you need to start players who are a lock to hit at least 2X their price, thus giving you a safe floor. For example, if Keenan Allen costs $8,000 on DraftKings, he would need to produce 16 fantasy points or more in order to exceed the 2X value on his $8,000 price tag. With all that in mind, here are my cash game locks for both FanDuel and DraftKings
QB - Tom Brady, $7,800
Tom Brady has been having a legitimate renaissance season thus far. Right now, he is the QB 4 overall and is priced as the QB 7. The Patriots are massive favorites against a defeated Jets team, and Vegas has this as a large point total. In turn, means the Patriots are projected to score lots of points which means plenty of touchdowns for Brady. Unlike any other team in the NFL, Brady and the Patriots never take their foot off the gas pedal when they are up by 20 or more points. Brady will be slinging the rock the entire game.
RB - Austin Ekeler, $7,600
Right now THE RB 1 on the year, Ekeler is priced way too low at $7,600. Fantasy sites have not caught on to the pure upside and safety Ekeler possesses on a week to week basis. With Henry and Gordon still out, Ekeler is going to continue his massive work in the passing and running game. Right now, Ekeler is an elite Fantasy RB priced as a low as you’ll ever get for player of his caliber and consistency.
WR - Marquise Brown, $6,100
What else does Hollywood have to do to get respect amongst the DFS Fantasy community? Currently the #4 WR on the year, having Brown priced in the low $6,000s is an absolute joke. He’s not just a big play guy, evidenced by his 13 targets in week 2. My #1 pet peeve in Fantasy is when people who are blazing fast are deemed as boom bust players. Tyreek Hill, Brown, and OBJ are amongst the fastest guys in the league and are much more consistent than people give them credit for. Obviously they all have the potential to go bananas, but just because they can be the #1 WR on the week, doesn’t mean they also can’t be consistent due to their massive target share. Rant over. Start Hollywood Brown.
TE - Zach Ertz, $6,900
Last week when D Jax and Jeffery got pulled for injury in the 4th Quarter, Ertz returned to his 2018 season ways, and was targeted 16 times. Both D Jax and Jeffery are expected to miss this Sunday’s game, which puts Ertz back in to the expected 10+ target role. With all this in mind, Ertz is underpriced at just $6,900, and is a lock to finish as an elite producer.
QB - Matt Ryan, $5,700
Thus far, Marr Ryan’s worst Fantasy performance has been 23.6 points, and surprisingly his price has dropped by $400 from the following week. He’s priced as the QB 14 which is baffling to say the least, as Indy plays in a dome and are not anything to be afraid of in the secondary. This game has a lot of sneaky upside for Fantasy, so using Matt Ryan as your cash game QB makes all the sense in the world.
RB - Frank Gore, $4,400
With Singletary expected to miss this game, the infinite Frank Gore is in line to receive a massive workload. At home against perhaps the worst run defense in the NFL in the Bengals, Gore has a very safe floor. Priced way down at $4,400, Gore is a cheap cash lock as pure volume RB 2. Put him in your lineup to make room for a plethora of elite players.
WR - Kenny Golladay, $6,600
Golladay has emerged as the true #1 target in the improved Detroit offense. Before the season, I was on the side saying Marvin Jones could actually be the 1A in the offense, however, I was wrong. Golladay has taken the reigns and looks like a true stud. Golladay takes on Philly, who has an elite run defense, yet a bottom 5 pass defense. In turn, the Lions are likely going to rely on the pass game here. This is even more true as Philly are the favorites to win, which means Stafford will need to sling the ball in order to play catch-up if they are indeed losing in the 4th quarter.
TE - Darren Waller, $4,100
Another player whose performance on the field doesn’t match his price on DK, Waller is an easy lock for cash at his price. His near 100% snap percentage and 15 targets in two weeks is elite for the volatile TE position. Waller is one of the rare TEs in fantasy football where his performance is great based on volume, not touchdowns. Volume and receptions are much more predictable stats than touchdowns, which is why Waller is a great cash play. His low price is just a bonus.
Ultimate Lock of the Week
WR - Emmanuel Sanders, DK - $4,800, FD - $5,700
For my ultimate lock of the week, I have chosen Fantasy Football’s WR #3, Emmanuel Sanders. Priced as a low end WR 3, Sanders should be the first player you lock in on either DFS site. Commanding a huge target share, and nearly all of the red-zone targets, Flacco seems to only trust Sanders in this offense.