Week 2 : FanDuel & DraftKings Cash Game Locks
For those unfamiliar with the term “cash game”, it refers to the head to head or 50/50 contest type. The best strategy for cash games is to target safe players, and avoid guys who can bust. You only need to beat 50% of the competition in order to win money, so players with a low floor and high ceiling such as D Jax, Winston, and Drake are the archetype you must avoid. For cash games, you need to start players who are a lock to hit at least 2X their price, thus giving you a safe floor. For example, if Keenan Allen costs $8,000 on DraftKings, he would need to produce 16 fantasy points in order to match the 2X value on his $8,000 price tag. With all that in mind, here are my cash game locks for both FanDuel and DraftKings
QB - Patrick Mahomes, $9,000
I tend to avoid expensive QBs in my cash game lineups, however given the fact Mahomes just torched Jacksonville’s elite defense away from home, I can make an exception. Mahomes is currently the safest player in fantasy, and when you have him in your lineup there is a calming sensation, KNOWING your QB is going to perform at an elite level. There are tons of skill position players that have value this week, so paying up for Mahomes is something I feel comfortable with in week 2.
RB - Chris Carson, $7,400
As predicted, Chris Carson torched the Bengals last week with two touchdowns. Even more impressive, he was the highest targeted player in Seattle, and had 6 receptions. This is something the Chris Carson of last year did not do. And even more impressive than THAT, Carson was able to produce like this in a game script that was not as positive as we all had thought. He did not get his 20+ carries, yet still finished as a top RB on the week. This means no matter the game script, Carson is the featured man in this offense and is going to be a focal point weather they are winning or losing.
RB - Matt Breida, $5,600
After the injury to Tevin Coleman, Breida walks in to the 1A RB role in a productive Kyle Shanahan offense. At $5,600 he is underpriced, especially playing against a weak run unit in Cincinnati that just gave up 2 touchdowns and 6 receptions to Chris Carson. Priced as a backup, Breida is a cheap option on FanDuel for guaranteed production.
WR - Sammy Watkins, $7,400
Perhaps the most talked about player regarding last Sunday’s games was Sammy Watkins with his 200 yards and 3 TDs. Needless to say, Watkins and Mahomes went scorched earth policy all over Jacksonville’s top rated pass defense. With Tyreek Hill’s injury, Watkins steps right in to the Chiefs #1 WR role in fantasy football’s most points-friendly offense. $7,400 is too low of a price tag for Watkins, especially against the Raiders.
Honorable Mentions : QB - Josh Allen, RB - Adrian Peterson, WR - Tyrell Williams, WR - Larry Fitzgerald, TE - George Kittle
QB - Jared Goff, $5,900
After a poor season debut, I’m confident Goff bounces back and has a strong performance. Last year in week 1, Goff had a poor game and bounced back to become the QB 2 overall until his week 11 bye. Stomping in to the LA Colosseum, Goff and the Rams will be incredibly productive at home in the highest projected point total of the week. You can bank on 300 yards and 2 touchdowns for Goff this game.
RB - Austin Ekeler, $6,100
It seems as if DraftKings didn’t watch a single RB play football last weekend. Ekeler is a steal here at his $6,100 price. With Hunter Henry succumbing to injury, his vacated targets will likely go to Ekeler. Detroit is a great run defense, however if Ekeler catches 10 passes here, he will absolutely hit value with DK’s full PPR scoring settings. I’m not projecting Ekeler to score 35 points again, however he does have a 15 point floor, which already exceeds his 2X salary point.
RB - Josh Jacobs, $4,700
Yup. This isn’t a typo. Rookie Josh Jacobs who scored 2 touchdowns in a 3 down workhorse role is only priced at $4,700. On DraftKings, Jacobs is a free square. Play him in literally every lineup. People were worried about his pass catching opportunity, as specialist Jalen Richard had a big role there last year. However, Jacobs ran more routes than Richard last week, despite only catching one ball. He may not score 2 touchdowns again, but I can easily see him catching at least 3 more balls this week. Again, fire him up as your RB 2 or Flex and free up salary for your studs.
WR - Robert Woods, $6,400
Everything I said about Goff earlier, applies to Woods as well. Woods was the only decent player in the Rams offense last game, on what will be Goff’s worst game of the year. Woods is pretty much a lock every single game for at least 6 catches and 70 yards. And that’s just his floor. I believe he catches a touchdown this game at home against the Saints in what will be the highest scoring game of the week.
Honorable Mentions : QB - Tom Brady, QB - Dak Prescott, RB - Mark Ingram, RB - Chris Thompson, WR - Marquez Valdes Scantling, WR - Tyler Boyd
Dual Site Lock:
RB - Alvin Kamara, FD - $8,700, DK - $8,200
Three numbers. 33.8, 32.6, 16.6. Kamara has played the Rams 3 times in his career, and the aforementioned numbers are his fantasy points per game against them. Basically, you can expect Kamara to go off in this game. Vegas has this game with the projected highest point total, meaning Kamara is going to be heavily featured running the ball, as Drew Brees tends to dial the pass attempts down when he is away from home. I can go on and on about how good of a play Kamara is, but I’ll just cut straight to it and say he is my #1 ranked RB this week and it’s not even close. Play him. Please.
WR - Keenan Allen, FD - $7,700, DK $7,600
In one week/offseason, the Chargers managed to lose many of their key offensive players. Melvin Gordon to holdout, Hunter Henry to Injury, and a doubtful Mike Williams to Injury. This leaves Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler to carry the load and rack up the receptions in a game they are projected to win. Although he struggles against man defense, which Detroit likes to implement, Keenan will be Rivers’s favorite target in a game where they will be without a majority of their quality receiving options. Allen can flirt with 15+ targets and will go over 100 yards in this one.
TE - Delanie Walker, FD - $5,900, DK - $3,500
Boy did Mariota miss Walker. Coming off of a huge 2 TD game, Walker not only produced, but he passed the eye test as well. Last year, the colts gave up 200 more total yards to the
TE position than any other team. Already Mariota’s safety blanket, Walker is in a smash spot here, and especially at such a low price on both sites, he is a lock. He may not score 2 TDs again, but is a near lock to hit the 100 receiving yards mark with a higher than average chance to score as well.
TE - Darren Waller, FD - $5,400, DK - $3,300
John Gruden wasn’t lying when he said Walker will be a focal point of the offense. In week 1, Waller was on the field for 100% of their snaps. That is not only unheard of for every position, but especially at TE where 60% of the snaps is considered elite usage. Playing at home against an abysmal Kansas City defense, Waller is primed for another big game. With the second highest point total of the week, he is a lock to give you double digit points at the most volatile position in fantasy.