Tennessee Titans Vs Jacksonville Jaguars TNF Breakdown
It seems as if every TNF game for a while now, has resulted in a underwhelming game. Sharp betters have likely been betting the under on these games for years. With that being said, in season long leagues, I normally lower my expectations on most players. I primarily focus on DFS for TNF games just to attempt to bring the excitement to the week. Without further a do, let's take a look at this game breakdown of the Titans vs Jaguars.
QB: Marcus Mariota- Playing against the Jaguars twice last year, Mariota averaged 131 passing yards per game. Although the Jaguars got demolished by Patrick Mahomes (Who Doesn't?) in week one, they held there own against Deshaun Watson in week two. With Yannick Ngakoue and A.J. Bouye, the Jaguars D still limited Watson to under 159 yards and 0 TD's. Mariota should not be started in any seasonal leagues at this time.
Gardner Minshew: Although Minshew has looked pretty good in his fist two games, this one will be his first challenge. His early opponents in the Chiefs/Texans were relatively easy matchups, but the Titans are tougher than people give them credit for. They've held Baker Mayfield and Jacoby Brissett to a mere 6.5 yards per attempt with 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Over the last 18 games, the Titans have only allowed 20+ point fantasy games to Deshaun Watson, Andrew Luck, and Carson Wentz. I don't think Minshew is good enough to be in that territory, don't start him this week.
RB: Derrick Henry/Dion Lewis: The Titans have ran the ball 47 times this year and Derrick Henry has seen 37 of them, collecting a 78% share. While everyone is running to Henry because of his 238 yard, 4 TD performance late last year, just remember that his previous performance last year resulted in 57 yards and no score. It is worth mentioning though that the Jaguars are allowing 4.65 yards per carry, while allowing the Chiefs and Texans teams to rush for 100+ yards in each game thus far. Derrick Henry is 100% in play while Dion Lewis is rightfully so, sitting in free agency in leagues.
Leonard Fournette: This man has accounted for 36 of the Jaguars RB's 37 touches, that is a rare 3-down back ladies and gentleman. The great news is that Fournette is only seeing stacked boxes 20% of the time, compared to an outstanding 44% of the time throughout last year. This matchup tonight is rather tough, as the Titans have only allowed 8 rushing touchdowns over the last 18 games played. Regardless, Fournette will receive 20+ touches tonight and is in play in seasonal and DFS.
WR: Corey Davis- He has been a man forgotten in the first 2 weeks, averaging 2.65 fantasy points a game. He has a mere 3 catches on the year and he could very well finish with 0 tonight, as he gets the nightmare matchup against Jalen Ramsey. After this past weekends report of wanting a trade, Ramsey will be active tonight and will get to showcase his dominance once again, after holding all-pro Deandre Hopkins to a 4/40 stat line last week. He is not in play anywhere.
A.J. Brown- Although he's proved to be the best WR on the roster, the coach has him playing similar snap counts to Adam Humphries and Tajae Sharpe. Sharpe has 58, Brown has 55, and Humphries has 54 snaps on the year, even though Brown has 125 yards on the year while the other 2 have 28 TOTAL. Unfortunately with A.J. Bouye expected to play tonight, Brown isn't recommended anywhere if i'm being honest.
Adam Humphries- After looking like a "go-to" in the preseason, Humphries has been a afterthought, just having 3 catches for 4 yards. Although he has the easiest matchup of the night for the Titans WR's, slot CB D.J. Hayden is no slouch. Fun fact for you guys, when in coverage over the last 4 years, Hayden has only allowed 3 touchdowns in that span. Humphries isn't in play anywhere.
Dede Westbrook- I believe he has the toughest matchup for Jaguars WR's tonight going against Logan Ryan. He did get burned by Parris Campbell last week, but he will keep up with Westbrook, who isn't known for his speed. Im not trusting Westbrook anyway after a robust 1/3 yard stat line last week vs the Texans.
Dj Chark- He leads the team in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdown through the first 2 weeks but the Titans have been good at holding teams WR's this season.
The Titans have held Odell Beckham and T.Y. Hilton under 14 fantasy points, so I don't see a reason to believe Chark does good this week. 3rd year CB out of USC Adoree Jackson is in the midst of a breakout year, only allowing 45 yards in coverage this year. With Adoree expected to see Chark throughout most of the night, I'm avoiding Chark this week.
Chris Conley- When Chark isn't dealing with Adoree Jackson, Conley will have the pleasure of dealing with him. When Adoree is on Chark, Conley will have another tough matchup against Malcolm Butler, who also happens to be doing good this year. Butler has only given up 58 yards in coverage this year, so the matchup is just as hard. Im not touching any Jaguars WR tonight for seasonal.
TE- Delanie Walker- The Jaguars actually cover the TE's pretty good. They held Travis Kelce to 3 catches in week one and Jordan Akins to 2 catches in week two. Last year the Jaguars allowed 6.96 yards per target to the TE position which finished 8th lowest in the league. While Walker could/should be the safety blanket in tonights matchup, don't expect a breakout game or anything.
James O'Shaughnessy- Geoff Swaim truthers are going through it right now as O'Shaughnessy has ran double the routes Swaim has throughout the 1st 2 weeks. They are allowing on average 39 yards per game to the TE position this year and they've went against notable names like David Njoku, Eric Ebron, and Jack Doyle.