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Ravens 2020 Fantasy Outlook

Updated: Jun 5

Published by Michael Garrity

From a fantasy perspective, the Baltimore Ravens team as a whole exceeded expectations. Jackson, Ingram, and Andrews all finished in the Top twelve in fantasy points for their respective positions. As a new season approaches, I would like to analyze each fantasy relevant player on the Ravens. I will give an in-depth analysis for each position, as well as my predictions for the upcoming season. 

Lamar Jackson, QB

To say Lamar was fantastic last year is an understatement. If he was on your fantasy team for 2019, you most likely made the playoffs. Jackson’s ADP in fantasy drafts for 2019 was 97.6, which means you probably drafted him around the 10th round. Jackson put the league on notice in his first game against the Miami Dolphins, in which he threw for 324 yards, and 5 touchdowns. He finished the game with 43.6 fantasy points. Jackson would proceed to have the best season by a Quarterback in fantasy football HISTORY. His 27.71 fppg, and 19+ fantasy points in 14/15 games rank as an all-time record. His 0.256 consistency rating ranked best among QB’s last season, as well as his 38.2% of fantasy points from rushing. 

With all of this being said, I am not convinced that grabbing Jackson in the early rounds is necessary. This is due to the fact that the QB position is very deep, and you can grab quality ones in the later rounds. Russell Wilson, Josh Allen, Dak Prescott, and so on. At the end of the day, Jackson should finish the 2020 season around the QB 1/2 mark. His SOS will also help him as it is one of the easiest in the league (Strength of Schedule). If you prioritize Quarterbacks, you can most likely draft him late in the second round or early in the third round. He will produce no matter what this season, so expect another MVP caliber year out of Jackson.

Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins, RB

Ingram is coming off a great season, as he ranked 11th in fantasy points, and 10th in fppg. He contributed immensely to the team's 3,296 rushing yards, which was a single season record. This year, Ingram concerns me for a couple of reasons. One of them is his touchdown dependency. Touchdown dependency is the percentage of a player's production that comes from a TD. The lower the percentage, the better. In Ingram’s case, his TD dependency was extremely high, which is 37.1%. That ranked as the 2nd worse among current running backs. 

Ingram will likely regress this year, especially with the newest addition to the team in rookie JK Dobbins. He offers more in the passing game than Ingram, as Ingram only got 29 targets. That ranked 46th amongst running backs. With his poor TD dependency, his competition in the RB room (Dobbins, Edwards, Hill), and his poor SOS (9th toughest), I don’t see him producing reliable numbers. With Ingrams career in the NFL coming to an end, It could be very possible that Dobbins takes over near the end of the year, as he is the future of the franchise. If you were to draft Ingram, I would make sure you have a quality RB1. From there, you could draft him as a low-end RB2 or a flex play.

Marquise Brown, WR

Brown had himself a solid rookie season. He cracked double-digit fantasy points in 6/14 games, including a 30.7 fantasy point performance against the Dolphins. His 584 receiving yards ranked 8th best among rookies, and his 7 receiving touchdowns ranked 3rd best. Brown also established his dominance as a deep threat. He had eight catches of 20-plus yards and four catches of 40-plus yards. Amongst the league, he ranked in the top 36%  in terms of air yards per game (53.8%), and top 27% in terms of percentage of team air yards (20.9%). 

Brown is on track for an increase in targets and production due to the connection between him and Jackson. Brown ranked second on the team in targets behind TE Mark Andrews. His 71 targets put him in the top 25% in the NFL for team target percentage. Brown's connection with Jackson will only get better and stronger, so expect that number to increase this season. He is currently the 29th receiver taken off the board in most drafts, and has an ADP of 6.03 (6th round, 3rd pick). With another year in the Ravens system and no real competition at his position, Hollywood Brown has nice upside for the upcoming season. 

Mark Andrews, TE

Andrews had a breakout season in 2019, his 106% increase in fantasy points ranked 2nd most among active Tight Ends, behind Darren Waller. Andrews finished as the TE2 for the 2019-20 season with 143.2 fantasy points in 15 games. 

Similar to Ingram, I am not a fan of his touchdown dependency. His 29% ranks as the 7th worst among Tight Ends. His team target percentage is bound to decline as well, as he was targeted the most by Lamar Jackson amongst his teammates last season. In fantasy drafts, the Tight End position is not deep whatsoever. There are four to five quality options before a massive drop-off in consistency and production. Andrews to me is one of the riskier options out of the top five Tight Ends that include Kelce, Ertz, Waller, and Kittle. You have two paths you can go down. You can take a hit and draft either a Kittle/Kelce/Ertz in the earlier rounds, or save your draft picks and settle for a low-end TE1. Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, and Jared Cook to name a few. All in all, it depends on your preference. You can’t go wrong either way.