Most Underrated Player: Packers
Published by Michael Garrity Who would have thought that the most undervalued player on the Packers would be a future HOF’er? I’m talking about Aaron Rodgers. For the first time in his career, Rodgers doesn’t appeal to the eyes of many as a starting fantasy QB. With a mediocre receiving core and Adams missing four games last year, Rodgers didn’t have a lot to work with. Along with a difficult schedule that ranked fourth toughest in the league, it is safe to say that Rodgers didn’t have it easy last season. This season however, he could be poised for a strong return.
Rodgers is coming off a season in which he finished tenth in fantasy points (276.4). If you looked at his situation, that isn’t bad at all. Despite two single-digit fantasy performances, and five games under twelve points, he managed to produce a decent overall performance. You could say Rodgers’ numbers went down due to a few reasons. Aaron Jones’ overproduction, and Adams battling injuries all season were a couple factors that limited Rodgers numbers. As the 2020 season approaches, I don’t think we will see a season like Jones had last year. As well as a much more productive season from Adams, provided he stays healthy.
With a new addition of Devin Funchess, and a healthy Davante Adams, we could see an uptick in touchdown completions in the red zone. Aaron Jones is also bound to decline, as his TD dependency and low consistency rating scream regression. Unlike last season, Rodgers is looking at an easy schedule, as his SOS ranks seventh best in the league for Quarterbacks. One stat I love about Rodgers is his TD dependency. It stands at 39.8% which ranks 12th best among QB’s. This means most of his fantasy points aren’t reliant on touchdowns. That is very encouraging, because if his receivers and backs are having an off night, he will find a way to produce points from pass yardage and rushing.
Many Packers fans feel that their front office made a mistake in this year’s NFL draft, as they took QB Jordan Love with their first round pick. Rodgers hasn’t had his starting job challenged in his career, but that could be the case this season. If there is anything that adds more motivation for a better performance this season, it could very well be that.
According to ESPN’s ADP evaluations, Rodgers is going as the QB10 in most drafts. That is around the late seventh to early ninth round. For me personally, I always suggest to everyone to not reach for Quarterbacks in fantasy drafts. The QB position is very deep this season, so don’t worry about getting a Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson in the second to third round. Use those rounds to focus on solidifying the positions that aren’t as deep, such as running backs or tight ends.
Rodgers can be considered as a low end QB1 for the 2020 season. His upside is fantastic, as long as his weapons stay healthy. Jones, Funchess, and particularly Adams will be a huge part of his success. Everything from Adams’ easy SOS (2nd easiest), to his fantastic consistency rating (0.311, third best among wideouts), he is overdue for a WR1 finish this season. With all of this in mind, don’t be afraid to take Rodgers halfway through your draft. You won’t regret it.