• Asher Jacobs

Most Overrated Player: Cleveland Browns

As we make the switch from the most undervalued, or underrated player on each team, to the most overvalued, one of the first teams to look at is the Cleveland Browns. With such a loaded offense, it's almost impossible for everyone to thrive from a fantasy football perspective. Today, we're going to be talking about someone who is an elite talent, but is currently being overvalued and taken too high in fantasy drafts. Nick Chubb was not the same player for the second half of the 2019 fantasy season, after the return of Kareem Hunt. He dropped from a solid RB1, averaging 19 points per game in the first 8 weeks, to a borderline RB2, averaging just 12.9 points per game in PPR formats.

In Nick Chubb's first 8 games of 2019, he ran for 803 yards, over 100 per game, and accounted for 6 touchdowns, all on a 75% snap count. This was without Kareem Hunt, as he missed the first half of the season due to suspension. Over the second half of the season, once Hunt returned to the lineup, Chubb dropped from over 100 rushing yards a game, and 6 touchdowns, to 85 rushing yards per game, and only 2 touchdowns, on only 63% of the snaps, over a 10% drop. There is no denying Chubb's talent, and potential, but this article is about the most overvalued player on the Cleveland Browns, and with Chubb currently being drafted anywhere from the late first round to the late second, he is being largely overhyped.

You should have to look no further than the fact that the appearance of Kareem Hunt brought Nick Chubb from averaging 19 points per game in fantasy, the same as Ezekiel Elliott, to 12.9 points per game, which was right next to Philip Lindsay. We all know that you don't want to draft last year's Philip Lindsay in the second round of your fantasy drafts this year, so don't make that mistake with Nick Chubb. Now, Chubb is not going to average 12.9 points per game this year, I'm not saying to avoid the man at all costs. What I'm trying to get across to my readers is that he's not going to average close to 20 points per game like he did in the first half of 2019, as long as Kareem Hunt is in the lineup.

Now, the Browns did recently hire Kevin Stefanski as their new head coach, and he was the man behind the Vikings dominant rushing attack last season. So yes, the Browns will be running the ball far more this year, which will help Chubb. If Chubb's average draft position is able to slide around 8 picks, to the beginning of the third round, then he is a great pick, and well worth the investment, but at his current price, which I've seen wander into the first round many many times, I simply cannot justify a Nick Chubb selection, for as long as Kareem Hunt is a Cleveland Brown.

Again, there is no denying the talent of Nick Chubb. Pro Football Focus graded him as the best running back in all of football during the 2019 season, ahead of Christian McCaffrey during his historical season, but Kareem Hunt is also an immensely talented football player, and the Browns would be stupid not to use him as a compliment to Nick Chubb. Chubb should be a very safe and productive RB2 in 2020, but I'm not comfortable starting the season with him as my number one running back.