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Most Overrated Player: Cincinnati Bengals

Published by Michael Garrity

Cincinnati Bengals fans are coming into this season with optimism, something they haven’t had since 2015. That was the last time they made the playoffs. Since then, they have experienced nothing short of disappointment in four rough years. With four seasons in a row with less than seven wins, and seeing nothing more than a third or fourth place finish in their division, Bengals fans have certainly been frustrated. Until this season. After drafting former Heisman winner and superstar Joe Burrow, Bengals fans are looking for him to lead the franchise to the promise land. With a healthy AJ Green, new addition of former Clemson WR Tee Higgins, and returning talents in Joe Mixon and Tyler Boyd, this offense is on par with most NFL teams. However from a fantasy perspective, there is one player on this offense that I am still skeptical of in upcoming drafts. 

Joe Mixon finished the 2020 season with a final fantasy point total of 225.5. That put him at a 13th place finish amongst running backs. Even with one of the worst offenses in the league last season, Mixon still managed to put up borderline RB1 numbers. In the final eight weeks of the regular season, he showed his ability to be one of the top backs in the league. Mixon posted 145.4 fantasy point total in that eight week stretch, which ranked fourth among running backs.

While Mixon is capable of having a year similar to that eight game stretch, there are a few things that concern me with him this season. One of them being a holdout. Mixon and the Bengals still haven’t reached an agreement on his contract, which could lead to him holding out until a fair deal has been made. He has hinted in the past that he is not afraid to hold out, much like Dalvin Cook. Mixon is also interested in a large amount of money on his next contract. The number he is looking for is comparable to Christian McCaffrey’s $16 million per year. According to RotoBaller, Mixon should get a deal sooner than later. As a fantasy owner, I am not willing to gamble a possible first round pick for a holdout. Along with a poor consistency rating (0.546, 13th worst), and a large amount of receiving weapons in Higgins, Green, and Boyd, I see Mixon as a risky first-second round pick in this year's fantasy drafts. 

With all of this being said, Mixon could very well have a solid year of production in 2020. With no other back to compete with, Mixon will hold the RB1 spot unless an injury prevents him. Mixon’s current ADP is around the late first round (12th pick). If I am in that position, most of the Tier one backs are gone. I would be looking for a safer RB1 such as a Fournette or Ekeler, or a high-end WR1 like DeAndre Hopkins or Tyreek Hill. It is safe to say that he could be in the category of boom-or-bust for the upcoming year. Make sure to be aware of the possible consequences of taking Mixon in your upcoming fantasy drafts.