Green Bay Packers Vs Chicago Bears TNF Breakdown
Well boys we made it! After a 8 month hiatus of no football, we survived the offseason and we finally made it to the regular season! Every Thursday morning, the plan will be to have a article out weekly that covers the game that night! This article will provide help whether your stuck deciding on if you should play a certain player in your season longs, or even if you should play them in your Fanduel/Draftkings lineups. This write up will be more of notes/cheat sheets rather than a typical article that we provide on this site.
Mitch Trubisky- Some people might shy away from Trubisky Thursday because they are scared of the Packers defense, which is in result of the offseason additions of Rashan Gary, Darnell Savage, Za'Darius Smith, and Preston Smith. While those are some good names we brought in, they also lost some big names on defense like Clay Matthews, Mike Daniels, and Muhammed Wilkerson. While I don't consider him a QB1 this week (top-10 QB), I will have some shares in DFS (daily fantasy sports) due to the fact that only 3 QB's finished with less than 15 fantasy points in games against the Packers last year.
Aaron Rodgers: Obviously if you drafted Aaron Rodgers in your fantasy leagues, your most likely starting him due to his high draft capital, but this is a matchup you need to avoid if possible. Starting your season against the Bears at Soldier Field is less than ideal. In his last 3 games at Soldier Field, Aaron Rodgers has a mere 4 touchdowns. In season long leagues, you can lessen your expectations for Rodgers in week one. For the single game slate on Fanduel/Draftkings, I'm still interested in Rodgers simply because while the matchup is hard, he possesses the most upside on the slate.
Montgomery/Cohen/Davis- I'm sure it's nothing but isn't it odd how David Montgomery is listed as the RB3 on the teams official depth chart despite getting nothing but hype this offseason? Regardless I think Montgomery is worth the start in all leagues because of the fact that the Chicago Bears gave the teams running backs 34 total touches a game on average last season against the Packers. That's a lot of volume to go around. With that being said, consider Tarik Cohen in play in .5 as a flex or a low-end RB2 in PPR leagues. As for Mike Davis, he's a sneaky tournament DFS option. He looked great last year in a committee with the Seahawks and had some big games. Who's to say he won't have one of those in week one? He's cheap and no one will look his way because they are head over heels for Montgomery.
Jones/Williams- Green Bay Packers RB Aaron Jones was phenomenal in the 2nd half of the season last year, as he was a top-10 RB from weeks 8-14. Coming into 2019, I'm scared of his outlook simply because HC Matt Lafleur has said numerous times that he plans on endorsing a RBBC (Running Back By Committee), which is the news that fantasy owners that drafted Jones in round 3 want to here. Jamal Williams isn't anything special if were being honest but you have to listen to what the coach is saying, especially when he ran the RBBC last year in Tennessee with Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis. Given the fact that the Bears only allowed 4 rushing td's in 2018 as well as only letting 3 RB's surpass 56 rushing yards, I'm not rostering any Packer RB on my roster week one, whether it's season long or DFS.
Davante Adams: He was a man amongst boys last year, delivering at least 15 fantasy points in every single game. People see Adams going up against the Bears may stress out but don't worry because he recorded 19.4 and 18.8 in the 2 games against them last season. With that being said, he is matchup proof and not only should you lock him in with confidence in your season long leagues, but he better be 100% owned in the TNF single game slate for DFS.
Geronimo Allison: Typically when you look at the Chicago Bears defense, it's hard to find a flaw. Well, that's before you realize that Buster Skrine is the team's slot corner. Skrine has had a reputation for quite some time now in giving up big plays. With that being said, Allison has the size and speed to make this a matchup in heaven for Aaron Rodgers. He is flex worthy in 12-man leagues and I'll take a stab at him in DFS Thursday.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: He most likely will be stuck on Kyle Fuller's side most of the game, so he won't be streaming worthy in season long or DFS. Don't be surprised if he's a "decoy" and see's minimal targets.
Allen Robinson: With 2nd year CB Jaire Alexander expected to shadow Robinson, I can tell you that isn't ideal for starting the season off with a big game. Alexander shined in shadow coverage last year and his only big game he gave up last year was against Julio Jones (8/106/2), but to be fair, who doesn't give up big games to Julio Jones? Robinson had a 7 and an 8 point game last year against the Packers. With that being said, I'm treating him as a WR3 this week in season long leagues, and I'm fading him in DFS because of the shadow coverage.
Anthony Miller: Entering week one, I think Miller might have the best matchup in the entire TNF game. He will either matchup with 36 year-old Tramon Williams, or he will get to go toe-to-toe with Tony Brown, an undrafted FA who will be playing out of position. Regardless of which one gets the pleasure of guarding him, Miller should be the Bears top WR this week. He should be treated as a flex in season longs, while I'm looking to throw him in my DFS lines TNF.
Taylor Gabriel: Not a ton to say here other than he is FAST. With that being said, so is Kevin King, who is expected to cover him. Gabriel has the big play ability, but also has the ability to give you zero points. He should not be started in season long leagues, but could be the winning tourney play on DFS if your feeling risky.
Jimmy Graham: He will be a streaming option later on in the season, but avoid him in everything this week! I say that because he averaged 20 yards a game last year in his 2 games vs the Bears. On top of that, the Bears only allowed one TE last year (George Kittle) to surpass 50+ yards. He is not worth playing in week one.
Adam Shaheen: Starter Trey Burton is listed as questionable with groin injury. With that being said, if Burton misses, I think Shaheen could be a sneaky DFS play. Even if Burton is active (unlikely), he will 100% see limited snaps. Shaheen isn't worth a play in seasonal leagues but he is dirt cheap on Fanduel and Draftkings.